Iran has warned Gulf states that the region could become a « fireball » if they support US military operations. This threat comes amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict in 2026, which has already triggered US airstrikes and Iranian retaliatory attacks against military bases in Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain. Prediction markets estimate roughly 30% odds that a US-Iran deal would include Iran reconstruction funding. Gulf nations are seeking to avoid direct confrontation despite attacks targeting their energy facilities and infrastructure.
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