Iran has set conditions to end hostilities with the United States, including the lifting of sanctions, cessation of U.S. aggression, and release of Iranian assets. Qatar is mediating between the two nations in diplomatic negotiations aimed at resolving the conflict. The probability of Iran Reconstruction Funding being part of a 2026 agreement has risen from 16% to 18.5% in 24 hours, reflecting increased perception of a positive outcome. These developments occur amidst growing tensions since February 2026, marked by sporadic armed confrontations and increased U.S. economic sanctions.
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