Protests in Iran, which began following the death of Mahta Zhina Amiri four years ago, continue as part of the « Woman, Life, Freedom » movement. These demonstrations reflect growing public dissatisfaction with the regime’s policies on rights and governance. Iranian security forces have responded forcefully, maintaining a tense atmosphere in the country. Markets currently price a 14.5% probability of a leadership change by December 31, up from 14%. Upcoming anniversaries and protest events, along with statements from the Assembly of Experts and the IRGC, remain key indicators to monitor.
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