HTX Research published a report titled “Crypto Market Outlook Before and After the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections.” Its base case is that the midterm elections could reshape policy expectations for the next two years, while inflation, financing costs, and capital flows will remain the main drivers of short-term prices. The report anticipates elevated volatility, repeated repricing, and divergence across assets rather than a sustained rally driven by a single political narrative. It examines how the elections could affect the pace of crypto legislation, regulatory oversight, and asset pricing under different congressional outcomes. The report also provides conditional market scenarios and a framework of indicators to monitor from the pre-election period through the first half of 2027.
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