The U.S. House of Representatives rejected Representative Al Green’s resolution to impeach President Donald Trump on September 15. The vote resulted in a 237-140 decision to table the measure, with 47 Democrats voting present. The resolution, H.Res. 1486, was introduced on August 24 and had not advanced out of the House Judiciary Committee prior to the vote. Prediction markets have interpreted this outcome as reducing the likelihood of Trump’s removal before 2027, with the probability of his departure by the end of 2026 now priced at 5.5% for a YES outcome.
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