Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton told the leaders of the EU’s 27 member states that machines could surpass human intelligence within 18 months. The timeline, notably advanced by OpenAI board member Paul Christiano, worries Hinton himself, who previously estimated that the transition could take a decade. Hinton puts the probability of a catastrophic AI outcome at between 10% and 20%. He delivered the warning in Dublin at the first EU summit to dedicate a full agenda item to artificial intelligence. European leaders discussed the AI Act, stronger governance and the possibility of Europe helping shape international standards.
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