A New York Times poll places Democratic candidate Peggy Flanagan ahead in the Minnesota Senate race, with 54% of the vote compared with 40% for Republican opponent Michele Tafoya. Her 14-point lead is substantially larger than the narrow advantages reported by previous polls. The seat became vacant after Democratic Senator Tina Smith decided not to seek reelection. Market pricing now indicates a high probability of a Democratic victory, although further polling and significant campaign developments could still shift the dynamics of the race.
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