A recent Fox News poll shows Republican incumbent Susan Collins and Democratic challenger Troy Jackson tied at 49% among likely voters in the 2026 Maine Senate election. The tie confirms the closely contested nature of the race, which major political forecasters have already rated a toss-up. Other recent polls give Jackson a slight lead, including 49% to 47% in a Rasmussen poll and 50% to 46% in a Washington Post and George Mason poll. Fundraising, endorsements and shifts in voter sentiment could further alter predictions and market volatility as the campaign enters its final stretch.
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