Bitcoin’s 30-day realized volatility fell to the 1.5th percentile as of early September 2026, a historically low level. According to VanEck, Bitcoin’s annualized realized volatility was just 27.2%, compared to a historical average of around 80%. Long-term holders controlled up to 83% of circulating supply, locking up a significant portion of Bitcoin in patient hands. Between August and early September, Bitcoin’s price surged from the $63.5K to $65K range to between $78K and $80K. Analysts refer to this as a « coiled spring effect »: compressed volatility combined with steady underlying demand could trigger sharp price movements once sell-side pressure eases.
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