Bernstein forecasts that annual predictive markets volumes will reach $10 trillion by 2035, compared to approximately $410 billion expected in 2026, representing average annual growth of around 70%. This expansion is driven primarily by the rise of contracts linked to cryptocurrencies, stocks and commodities, which would increase their share from 12% to 49% of traded volumes. The sector has already grown from $50 billion in 2025 to nearly $300 billion by end of August 2026, with Kalshi capturing approximately 60% of activity. However, US regulation of sports contracts remains uncertain until 2027 or 2028 due to conflicts between the CFTC and several states that classify these products as sports betting.
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