Belgium has formally condemned Israel’s plan to expand the E1 settlement east of Jerusalem, joining several European governments that oppose what the European Union and the UN describe as a violation of international law. The E1 project sits on occupied West Bank territory that Palestinians seek as part of a future state. Prediction markets pricing US recognition of Palestine before 2027 show approximately 6% odds, while Italy’s sub-market stands at 13.5%, down from 16% a week ago. Belgium’s condemnation stops short of formal recognition, limiting its direct impact on resolution criteria.
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