The shift in Latino voter support toward Democrats helped produce Democratic victories in several closely contested Texas races. Latino voters were instrumental in Democrats regaining control of both chambers of Congress and securing significant upsets. For the TX-35 House seat, the market-implied probability of a Republican victory fell from 31% a week earlier to 0.1%. Democratic nominee Johnny C. Garcia was priced at 82.3%, while the results raised questions about the sustainability of the Republican gains recorded among Latino voters during Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign.
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