Democrats have identified Texas as their top target to flip a Republican-held Senate seat in the 2026 elections, according to Axios. Democratic candidate James Talarico will face Republican Ken Paxton for the open seat after incumbent John Cornyn decided not to seek reelection. Recent polling shows a close race, with Talarico holding a narrow lead within the margin of error. Prediction markets put the probability of a Democratic victory at 69.5%, up from 66% a week earlier, while Donald Trump’s backing of Paxton could shape the dynamics of the race.
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