The NBA has signed a data-sharing memorandum of understanding with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and entered partnerships with Kalshi and Polymarket, which already offer markets on game outcomes, player props and full seasons. The league’s focus on transparency and integrity follows similar moves by Major League Baseball in March 2026 and the National Hockey League in May 2026, while the NFL is supporting state regulation. Trading volume on NBA outcomes exceeded $13.86 billion in October 2026. NBA betting restrictions announced on October 16, 2026, do not apply to CFTC-regulated platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Polymarket US’s USDC settlement and Kalshi’s use of regular US dollars also strengthen the connection between prediction markets and stablecoin infrastructure.
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