The Houthi movement in Yemen has carried out a series of drone and missile strikes against Saudi Arabia, targeting key locations including Riyadh’s King Khalid International Airport and Saudi Aramco facilities, resulting in casualties and disruptions. These attacks, which came in response to a Saudi-led offensive against the Houthis, have exposed significant vulnerabilities in the kingdom’s air defense systems despite limited external support. The situation is placing increasing pressure on Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to strengthen domestic defense capabilities or seek more robust military alliances. Market indicators show a 7.2% probability of a leadership change by December 31, 2026, while the likelihood of a Saudi-Houthi ceasefire by October 2026 stands at just 5.0%.
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