The AARP poll indicates Democratic candidate Chris Pappas is leading the New Hampshire Senate race with 51% support against Republican John Sununu. The seat is open following Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement. Polls from NYT/Siena (50%-45%) and Rasmussen (49%-44%) confirm this mid-single-digit lead for Pappas. Market odds reflect an 88.5% probability of a Democratic win. Despite Republican optimism and Donald Trump’s endorsement of Sununu, public polling suggests a consistent Democratic advantage.
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