Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned that Iran is just two weeks away from developing a nuclear weapon. This statement comes amid rising tensions in the Israel-Iran nuclear confrontation following the International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) referral of Iran’s nuclear activities to the UN Security Council. The agency reported difficulties in verifying Iran’s nuclear materials due to restricted access for inspectors. Prediction markets now imply reduced odds of US-Iran peace talks occurring by September 30, 2026, as markets interpret the warning as decreasing the likelihood of imminent diplomatic resolutions.
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