The chances of the Clarity Act passing this year have dropped to 18% on Polymarket, down from an overnight high of 35%, after Democrats rejected new ethics provisions proposed by Republicans. Senator Mark Warner said the ethics language is ‘not close’ to a deal, while Senator Adam Schiff said the provisions ‘don’t go far enough’ and would likely not apply to the Trump family in current form. The Senate vote on taking up the bill is scheduled for today at 2:15 p.m. ET; nine Democrats will need to vote with Republicans to reach the 60 votes needed for cloture. Meanwhile, major cryptocurrencies are retreating, with BTC down 1% at $77,000, ETH at $2,480, and SOL at $101.
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