Russian drone attacks disrupted a train journey departing from Kyiv, causing infrastructure damage. Prediction markets have lowered the likelihood of Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026, decreasing from 6% to 5.5% over the past 24 hours. This attack is part of a broader pattern of Russian military actions targeting Ukrainian infrastructure. Market participants view these developments as a setback to Ukraine’s strategic ambitions in Crimea. Key figures to monitor include President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi.
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