Yemeni government-affiliated resistance has renewed its commitment to continue fighting until Yemen is liberated from Iranian-backed groups, despite recent military setbacks. Syrian state media reported that Israeli forces shelled areas near Damascus, highlighting escalating regional tensions linked to Iranian influence. These developments sustain a climate of persistent instability, as prediction markets now assess the probability of the Iranian regime falling before 2027 at 7.5%, slightly down from 8% the previous day but up from 6% a week ago. Key indicators monitored by these markets remain defections within Iranian leadership and international responses to Iran’s regional activities.
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