Kyiv experienced one of the most intense missile attacks of the ongoing conflict, with approximately 20 Iskander-M missiles striking the Ukrainian capital. This assault marked a significant escalation in the type of munitions used, with cluster warheads deployed for the first time at this scale. Prediction markets now assign a 24% probability to a potential NATO-Russia military clash by the end of 2026. This intensification aligns with Russian military strategies targeting Ukrainian cities as part of the broader conflict that began with Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022. Observers are closely monitoring diplomatic and military reactions from both sides.
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