U.S. military officials have warned Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth against continuing large-scale military operations against Iran. This warning comes amid rising tensions following the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted in February 2026, initially marked by joint U.S.-Israeli strikes. The conflict has evolved into a prolonged standoff centered around the strategic Strait of Hormuz. Prediction markets reflect this potential de-escalation, now pricing a 15.5% chance of a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027, down from previous levels. This advisory suggests a potential cooling of tensions and a shift towards de-escalation.
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