U.S. military leaders have warned Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth against extending military operations in Iran. These officials fear that such actions could weaken U.S. military capabilities in other strategic areas. The conflict between the United States and Iran, which began with strikes in February 2026, has evolved into a costly stalemate despite a ceasefire framework. Markets are pricing a reduced likelihood of a U.S. invasion of Iran, estimated at 12.5% before 2027.
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