The U.S. Senate is scheduled to vote on the Clarity Act on September 15, 2026, marking a significant procedural step for this digital asset market-structure bill. The legislation aims to clarify the division of regulatory oversight between the CFTC and the SEC. The market currently prices the probability of this law being enacted in 2026 at 24.5%, down from 28% twenty-four hours ago but up from 18% a week prior. Decisions by key figures such as Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer could significantly influence the outcome of this vote, which will require 60 votes to advance.
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