A Russian Su-35 fighter jet entered Ukrainian-controlled airspace for the first time in years, launching a Kh-59/69 cruise missile at Sumy City before returning to Kursk Oblast unchallenged. No Ukrainian air defense response or fighter jet interception was reported. This incident raises questions about potential gaps in Ukraine’s air defense capabilities or a shift in Russian confidence. Prediction markets now price the probability of a NATO-Russia military clash by December 31, 2026, at 23.5 percent YES.
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