Ukrainian drones targeted oil refineries in Ufa and military installations in Crimea on August 1. This attack is part of Ukraine’s ongoing drone campaign against Russian energy infrastructure and military facilities. Strikes on Ufa demonstrate Ukraine’s capability to reach deep into Russian territory. Attacks on military sites in Crimea apply continuous pressure on Russian military logistics in the Black Sea region. Prediction markets estimate the probability of Ukraine recapturing Crimea by the end of 2026 at 8.5 percent.
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