In July, Ukraine carried out a sustained drone strike campaign against Russian refineries, fuel depots, and maritime assets, causing the complete shutdown of the Saratov Oil Refinery on July 7 and significant damage to the Ilsky refinery in Krasnodar Krai two days later. Russian gasoline production fell to approximately 65% of seasonal demand, leaving a shortfall of 25 to 35 percentage points against peak summer consumption requirements. Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak confirmed on July 10 that Ukrainian strikes had caused partial refinery shutdowns, forcing Moscow to impose fuel sale restrictions and turn to Belarus for emergency supply support. The global oil market was not significantly disrupted, as Russian export volumes had already been constrained by sanctions and price caps before this targeting campaign began.
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