Only 32% of Americans approve of Donald Trump’s economic management, down from 40% at the start of his second term, a historically low level even among Republicans, where support has fallen to 69%. On Polymarket, a betting platform built on the Polygon blockchain, the 2026 midterm election market has already seen nearly $7.6 million change hands, with a 45% probability of a fully Democratic Congress. The US Congress has opened an investigation into potential insider trading on these predictive markets, suspecting that some bettors may have non-public information. These two indicators, traditional polling and crypto predictive markets, are converging toward the same unfavorable trend for the current administration.
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