The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision on July 31, 2025, with divided market expectations: a 64.2% probability of rates staying flat and 35.8% of a 25 basis points hike. Bitcoin fell 3.10% over the past week and dove to $62,700 on July 28, while the 7-day taker position hit its lowest level in a year at -3.43, signaling defensive positioning from traders. On the derivatives market, a broad leverage reduction was observed with declines of $391 million at Gate.io, $178 million at Bybit and $149 million at Binance. Stablecoin inflows to Binance from whales also dropped from $63 billion to $25 billion since September 2025, highlighting persistent weakness in whale demand.
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