Russia launched an attack involving 200 drones on Kyiv, with 187 reportedly intercepted by Ukrainian air defenses. The assault caused explosions in the Ukrainian capital and injured one person. This attack marks a notable escalation in the ongoing conflict as both nations continue to engage in sustained aerial campaigns. Prediction markets reflect this heightened tension, with a decrease in the implied probability of Ukraine recapturing Crimea by end of 2026, currently priced at 5.5% for a YES outcome.
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