Russia destroyed over 1.5 million Ukrainian books in a drone strike, in what appears to be an effort to undermine Ukraine’s cultural identity. This attack is part of a broader campaign targeting Ukraine’s cultural and educational infrastructure, including libraries and schools. According to prediction markets, this event has decreased the likelihood of Ukraine recapturing Crimea by the end of 2026, dropping from 10% to 8.5%. In parallel, the probability of Russian advances toward Sloviansk has increased from 16% to 19.5%, reflecting a hardening of Russia’s military stance.
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