Iran has warned it can strike energy infrastructure across Gulf Arab states within 12 hours if its own oil and gas facilities come under attack. This threat follows a logic of deterrence through mutually assured economic pain, with Western sanctions having sustained pressure on Iran’s energy sector for years. The 12-hour response window is short enough to be credible and specific enough to signal this is not mere bluster. A sharp oil price spike would ripple into broader financial markets, including risk assets such as cryptocurrencies, as higher energy costs feed into inflation and complicate central bank rate decisions. The UAE, which has positioned itself as a crypto-friendly regulatory environment, would see its appeal for blockchain businesses deteriorate if the regional security picture worsens.
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