Iran has publicly executed two protesters at the site of their anti-government rally in Isfahan. These executions are part of a broader crackdown on dissent, with tensions escalating since January 2026. The judiciary claims the two men were convicted of moharebeh, or waging war against God, and the killing of security personnel. This escalation has drawn international condemnation and growing concern from human rights organizations, which warn of potential further escalations. Prediction markets are reflecting an increase in regime change probabilities for Iran.
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