Hezbollah has officially pledged allegiance to Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran’s new leader. This move, from a key Tehran ally based in Lebanon, confirms Khamenei’s political and religious influence in the region. Analysts believe this support could strengthen the stability of the Iranian regime amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in the context of the Israel-Hezbollah conflict. Despite an active ceasefire, exchanges of fire continue, illustrating the fragility of the current truce. Market data indicates a decrease in the probability of the Iranian regime’s fall by the end of 2026.
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