Benjamin Cowen, a cryptocurrency analyst, predicts Bitcoin will reach its next cycle bottom in 69 to 73 days, around October 2026, based on a day-count cycle model. He states the current cycle is at day 1,363, while the previous two cycles bottomed at days 1,432 and 1,436 respectively. This forecast is challenged by major sector players: Fidelity, Bitwise, and Grayscale argue that spot ETFs and institutional demand have weakened the traditional four-year cycle dynamics. However, Cowen maintains his position in a recent research paper, arguing the floor has remained stable across four cycles. The actual outcome of this prediction will determine which analytical approach was correct.
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