At least eleven people were killed in Russian strikes on Ukrainian territory, with the city of Odesa experiencing significant damage. Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces have launched operations against Russia’s « shadow fleet, » a strategic source of war financing. These developments have influenced prediction markets, with a reduced 22% probability of Russian forces entering Sloviansk by the end of 2026. Expectations vary by city, ranging from 90% for Dopropillia to just 3% for Kharkiv and Zaporizhia.
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