Former President Donald Trump has downplayed the potential use of nuclear weapons in the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran. His remarks come amid a fragile ceasefire following months of hostilities, where the U.S. and Israel have engaged in airstrikes against Iran, which responded with missile and drone attacks. U.S. Vice President JD Vance described Iran’s leadership as « crazy, » reflecting ongoing tensions. Prediction markets show the odds of a U.S.-Iran deal by end of 2026 have dropped to 8.5%, down from 12% a day earlier. The probability of the U.S. obtaining enriched uranium from Iran by year-end has also decreased, falling from 6% to 5%.
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