Kalshi prediction market traders are pricing in a 66.6% probability that President Donald Trump will be impeached by the House of Representatives before January 1, 2028. The contract has drawn more than $2.76 million in total trading volume, more than double since its November 2025 launch. The probability of actual removal from office remains limited to 27%, reflecting trader skepticism about a Senate conviction. On Polymarket, another prediction market platform, the comparable figure stands at 69%.
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