The Iranian government has declared its intention to maintain a firm stance against ongoing US sanctions, relying on diplomacy and defense. This announcement is part of the broader US-Iran confrontation over nuclear policy and regional influence. Probabilities for a US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding in 2026 have dropped to 10.5%, down from 18% a week ago, reflecting growing market pessimism about such an outcome. Observers are closely monitoring any diplomatic engagements involving mediators from Qatar and Pakistan, as well as any developments regarding uranium enrichment caps or moratoriums.
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