Russia has ordered military plans targeting Kyiv and Chernihiv, according to Pavlo Palisa, Deputy Head of the Presidential Office of Ukraine. Ukrainian intelligence has confirmed these plans, although no strike force is currently being mobilized in these directions. The Ukrainian General Staff has nevertheless prepared defensive measures in response to these potential threats. The context is one of ongoing hostilities with no ceasefire in place. Markets reflect a 19.5% probability that Russia will enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026.
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