Polymarket odds for the CLARITY Act being signed into law this year dropped below 20% this week, after peaking at 82% on February 19. The U.S. Senate adjourned for its August recess without voting on the bill, which aims to establish a federal framework for digital-asset markets. A vote is scheduled for September 15, but negotiations over unresolved ethics provisions have yet to produce a final outcome. September 30 is described by sources as the last clear deadline before campaign considerations make further progress significantly harder.
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