‘I predict one day Amazon will fail’: Jeff Bezos once warned his company might only last 30 years. At 31, it’s the biggest company in the world

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Jeff Bezos warned in 2018 during an all-hands meeting that « Amazon is not too big to fail, » predicting the company would likely last only 30 years. Eight years later, Amazon has overtaken Walmart to become the world’s largest company by revenue, reporting $716.9 billion in revenue for 2025, beating its competitor by more than $3 billion. The e-commerce giant’s market capitalization has reached approximately $2.5 trillion, more than doubling since Bezos’s warning. Founded in 1994 as Cadabra, the company achieved its first full profitable fiscal year in 2003 with $35 million in earnings. Amazon plans to invest $200 billion in artificial intelligence development this year, with its Anthropic stake alone valued at over $74 billion from an $8 billion initial investment.

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