Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reiterated his opposition to the establishment of a Palestinian state in a statement in which he also mentioned a recent conversation with U.S. Vice President JD Vance. This stance is consistent with his previous statements rejecting Palestinian statehood. The dialogue with Vice President Vance underscores continued U.S.-Israel diplomatic engagement on the issue, with no indication of a shift in the U.S. position. Prediction markets now assess the probability of U.S. recognition of Palestine before 2027 between 4.1% and 16.5%, below 20% overall.
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