The US government has advised its citizens to leave the Middle East, citing unpredictable actions from Iran amid escalating tensions in the region. The US State Department warned of potential disruptions, including flight cancellations and travel difficulties. This alert, underlining a deteriorating security environment involving the United States, Iran and other regional actors such as Israel, has impacted prediction markets with decreased optimism about a potential US-Iran deal in 2026. The situation suggests an increased risk of conflict and negative consequences for ongoing diplomatic efforts.
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