US-China tech tensions are affecting the likelihood of Chinese President Xi Jinping visiting the United States before the end of 2026. Both superpowers are locked in a fierce competition in AI, semiconductors, and quantum computing. Washington has tightened controls on advanced chip access and restricted outbound investments into sensitive Chinese tech sectors. China is now pursuing technological self-sufficiency. Market data shows the probability of such a visit dropped from 93% to 91.5% for a YES outcome, reflecting market sentiment influenced by escalating bilateral frictions.
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