A Ukrainian drone strike targeted a Russian seaside resort in the Zaporozhye region, killing 12 people, including five children, according to Russian-installed officials. The attack struck the coastal resort of Kyrilivka on the Azov Sea. Russia opened a terrorism investigation, calling the strike a deliberate attack on civilians. Prediction markets anticipate heightened Ukrainian military resolve, particularly regarding Crimea, though the implied probability of Ukraine recapturing Crimea by end of 2026 remains stable at 8.5%.
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