Ukraine carried out drone strikes on Moscow while Russia bombed a defense exhibition in Kyiv, marking an escalation in the ongoing high-intensity aerial conflict between the two nations. Ukraine’s drone capability continues to extend deeper into Russian territory, signaling a notable increase in its offensive operations. Prediction markets for Ukraine recapturing Crimea have risen to 9.5% YES, up from 8% a week ago, reflecting growing market confidence in Ukraine’s expanding military reach. Observers are monitoring whether Ukraine will sustain its deep strikes into Russian territory, which could further influence market perceptions of its ability to retake Crimea. Presidents Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin remain key actors shaping the trajectory of the conflict.
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