President Donald Trump stated that the United States plans to swiftly end Iran s nuclear threat. Prediction markets reflect a cautious outlook regarding a rapid resolution of the conflict. The probability of the US announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026, has dropped to 12% from 24% within twenty-four hours. For August 31, the probability stands at 52.5%, suggesting that participants anticipate significant developments by that date.
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