U.S. President Donald Trump is set to meet Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to discuss Iran and the Abraham Accords. This meeting, nearly certain according to markets with a 98.8% probability by July 31, comes amid fragile diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran over nuclear limits and sanctions relief. In contrast, the probability of a direct U.S.-Iran meeting by the same date stands at just 7.5%. The Abraham Accords, brokered under Trump’s previous administration in 2020, aim to normalize relations between Israel and several Arab states. Any outcome from the Trump-Netanyahu meeting could influence the prospects for resuming U.S.-Iran peace talks.
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