U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened to strike Iran’s underground Pickaxe Mountain nuclear facility near Natanz. This installation, buried about 100 meters underground, is believed by Western and Israeli intelligence to potentially store centrifuges or enriched uranium. Tensions between the United States and Iran have intensified over Iran’s nuclear program, exacerbated by Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure. Prediction markets reflect this escalation: the probability of the U.S. ending the blockade against Iran by July 31 dropped from 24% to 11.5%, while the August 31 outlook fell from 63% to 51.5%.
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